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Birmingham Friends of the Earth Newsletter Feb/Mar 2001

Surprise! Climate Change Might Be Caused By Human Activity!

Given the huge disappointment over any agreements emerging from The Hague in November, recent events in Shanghai have brought home to all the hard facts of doing nothing to reduce our addiction to cheap fossil fuels. At a meeting of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) all governments and citizens were urged to take tough action on greenhouse gas emissions as scientists issued the starkest-ever warning about global warming. It has projected the Earth's average surface temperature will rise by between 1.4 to 5.8 degrees celsius between 1990 and 2100, higher than its 1995 estimate of a rise of between one and 3.5 degrees. Evidence was also mounting that human activity was responsible for the rapid warming of the Earth's atmosphere, the United Nations agency said in the report.

The IPCC report, released at a meeting in Shanghai, China, showed that the main reason behind the rise was a fall in sulphur dioxide emissions. Greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide tended to warm the earth's atmosphere, whereas sulphur dioxide tended to cool it. The IPCC's Sir John Houghton warned from Shanghai: "We have had the warmest decade in the history of the last millennium, the last thousand years, in the 1990s. The Earth is certainly warming up and our projections for the warming next century we believe are quite robust."

The Shanghai report, meant to be the most comprehensive study on global warming to date, says new evidence shows more clearly than ever that temperature increases are caused mostly by pollution, not by changes in the sun or other natural factors. Rising temperatures could lead to drastic shifts in weather, scientists at the meeting said. Drought could strike farming areas, while melting polar ice could raise sea levels, flooding densely populated areas.

The next round of climate change talks will resume in Bonn, Germany, in May. So Karen had better start getting her maps, tent and bicycle clips out for another long ride to lobby ministers as they congregate in the old West German capital.

Watch this space!!

Carol Laidlaw


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